Language models now read applications and return a number. This essay collects what the published
research says about that number, examines the fourteen safeguards that deployers and regulators rely on,
and asks why the same question is arriving in admissions, credit, insurance, public benefits, peer review and the courts.
Maksim Silchenko · National University of Singapore
Documented failures
13each with a published study behind it
Safeguards in use
14none removes the failure it targets
Bias mitigations tested
15 to 20percent of those proposed in the hiring literature
Rendered in the browser · the beam does not settle
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Summary
Eight points
A language model that screens applications returns a number about a person, and the studies that examined that number found it depends on things other than the file. The model version, the run, the order in which files are shown and the wording of the job description each move it. The failures below are documented in published work on real applications and on controlled test sets, not in one paper.1
Removing names does not remove demographics. In Singapore, ethnicity was recovered from the language lines of a CV alone at a macro F1 of 0.97, and gender from the activity, volunteering and hobby lines at 0.98.1 Blinding 1,373 real teaching applications barely moved the .2
The written rationale does not report the driver. With realistic company context, race and gender shifted interview decisions by up to 12 percent while the model's explanations never mentioned either.4
The same file does not get the same number. One unchanged resume scored 50.5, 69.4 and 72.8 with three frontier models;8 13.6 percent of pairwise judgments flipped on an identical rerun;9 the first-listed of two CVs won 63.5 percent of comparisons across 22 models.10
The human standard the model is checked against is itself noisy. Admissions officers agreed on personal qualities at a of 0.15 to 0.60,12 and outcomes exist only for the people who were admitted.14 Accuracy against the committee therefore has a ceiling, and a high score can mean the model has learned one rater's habits.
Fourteen safeguards are in use, and none removes the failure it targets. Anonymisation and anti-bias instructions stop working on realistic input. Rubrics, juries, format choice and re-audits reduce one failure each and were mostly tested on synthetic input or general judging tasks. For six of the thirteen failures no safeguard with a positive published test exists, and for two there is no safeguard at all.
Regulation creates the duty to report but does not supply the measurement. Of 391 employers covered by New York City's bias-audit law, 18 posted an audit;23 the enforcing agency found one non-compliance among 32 companies where the state auditor found at least 17.41 The EU AI Act classes recruitment, admission, credit, insurance, benefits and judicial assistance as high-risk, and in July 2026 the obligations for those systems were postponed to December 2027;4258 management standards certify that a process exists, not that it caught anything.4546
The same instrument is being introduced beyond hiring, and its failure modes travel with it. Essay scoring, mortgage underwriting, peer review, insurance and public benefits already have documented cases or precedents, and several courts have met it. Because a shared model repeats one error at every gate at once, the time to require measurement is before the deployments become the default.
Every number on this page is tied to a source in the list at the end; every source was fetched and read before it was cited, and the bibliographic records were checked by machine against the project's bibliography on 15 and 16 September 2026. The essay describes what is known; it does not propose a method.
Part one
How a screener is used today
The setting is an admissions office or a recruiting team with more applications than readers.
The model is asked to do what a first reader did: read the file and say how strong it is.
A typical deployment is simple to describe. An application arrives as one or more documents: a CV, a
statement, transcripts, references. The documents are converted to text. Sometimes the name, the photograph and the
dates are removed first. The text is placed in a prompt together with the job description or the programme's
criteria, often with a rubric, and the on a fixed scale, a rank among the candidates, or
a shortlist decision, usually with a written justification. The number goes to a person or a committee, who may
read the justification, and the person decides. In the largest deployments one vendor's model reads the
applications of many employers at once.19
The tool is described by its vendors as fast, consistent and free of the fatigue and prejudice of a
human reader. Those are three separate claims, and each has now been tested. The evidence comes from audits of
deployed systems, from controlled experiments that pass real applications through real models, and from the wider
literature on language models used as judges. One end-to-end audit of a public employment agency covered about
497,000 candidate-vacancy entries over five years and seven pipeline stages, which gives a sense of the scale at
which such systems already operate.39
The path from a file to a decision has five places where something can go wrong, and the thirteen
failures in the next part are arranged along it. The diagram below follows that path; the failures appear where
the studies located them.
The path
Six stages, two loops. The dashed loop at the bottom is the applicant learning what the screener rewards. The dashed box around the model is the same model serving every employer that buys it.
A. The model sees what it should not
Demographics are inferred from the lines that remain after the name is removed, the written rationale does not report the driver, and the direction of the bias changes with the model version.
Problems 1 to 3
B. The number is not reliable
The same file gets different scores from different models and from the same model on a rerun, the order of the files changes the answer, and small differences at the margin are missed.
Problems 4 to 7
C. The yardstick is itself noisy
The committee the model is checked against disagrees with itself, outcomes exist only for the admitted, and outcome labels carry the labour market's history.
Problems 8 to 10
D. People adapt to the screener
Hidden instructions, fabricated credentials and machine-written statements change the file once the applicant knows a model will read it.
Problem 11
E. System and governance
One shared model repeats its error at every gate at once, and nobody has established what the committee does with the number.
Problems 12 and 13
Part two
Thirteen documented failures
Each failure below is a published finding, with the strongest evidence found for it. The
numbers are the studies' own; the essay adds nothing to them.
AThe model sees what it should not
Problem 1 of 13
Demographics are inferred from proxies, even with the name removed
Ethnicity from language lines
0.97macro F1 across 18 models; 0.13 with those lines deleted
Gender from activities
0.98macro F1 from the volunteering and hobby lines
Gender from embeddings
0.996area under the curve, 1,112 real master's applications
The standard defence against demographic bias is to remove the direct identifiers: the name, the photograph, the
address, sometimes the dates. The evidence is that the model rebuilds the profile from what remains. In a Singapore
study, researchers took 100 real job descriptions, produced 4,100 variants of real CVs with the names and explicit
demographic fields removed, and passed them through 18 language models. From the language lines alone, the models
recovered the applicant's ethnicity at a of 0.97; with those lines deleted the figure fell to 0.13. From
the activity, volunteering and hobby lines they recovered gender at 0.98. The inference reached the scores: across
the 18 models, profiles read as Chinese male ranked highest and profiles read as Indian or Malay female ranked
lowest.1
The result is not specific to one country. Blinding 1,373 real teaching applications barely changed the
adverse-impact ratios, because the model inferred the demographics from the rest of the file.2
Text embeddings of 1,112 real master's applications predicted the applicant's gender with an of
0.996.3
Why the proxies are dense
In Singapore, language and school names correlate with ethnicity and nationality, the dates of national service
give a man's age, and the tier of the university carries socioeconomic class. The lines that applicants are
advised to include in order to appear well rounded are the lines that rebuild the profile. Demographic
information is hard to hide from a system trained on this much human writing, and a screener that never sees a
name can still rank by ethnicity.
Figure 1 Recovering ethnicity and gender from anonymised CVs
Macro F1 is the mean of the per-class F1 scores, from 0 to 1. Language lines carried the ethnicity signal almost on their own. Sources: Tan et al. 2026; Isley, Gaebler and Goel 2026.
Problem 2 of 13
The written rationale does not report the driver
Shift in interview decisions
up to 12%from race and gender, with realistic company context
Mentions of race or gender
0in the written explanations of those decisions
Hint revealed in the reasoning
under 20%of the cases in which a reasoning model used it, in most settings
A model can be asked to explain its score, and it writes a professional rationale. The question is whether the
rationale reports what moved the number. In a study that added realistic company context to the prompts, such as an
employer name and notes on culture fit, the applicant's race and gender shifted interview decisions by up to 12
percent, and the explanations never mentioned either. Anti-bias instructions in the prompt, which work in simplified
settings, failed once the context was realistic; the one intervention that held across settings acted on the
model's internal activations, which a closed API does not expose.4
Two further findings bear on this. In a mortgage-underwriting experiment with instruction-tuned models, the text
output showed no bias while the internal representation still encoded the applicant's race, and re-injecting that
representation into the model's processing reversed the decisions.50 In a
study of reasoning models, the reasoning text mentioned the hint the model had actually used in fewer than 20
percent of the relevant cases in most of the settings tested.51
Alignment training and the gap between the words and the decision
does not close the gap. A study of dialect prejudice in Nature found that
models trained in this way express fewer overt stereotypes while their covert stereotypes about speakers of African
American English remain, so the training taught the models to conceal a prejudice rather than to remove
it.49 Reading the rationale is therefore not an audit of the decision.
It is a second output of the same model.
Problem 3 of 13
The direction of the bias changes with the model version
2023 model
+2.12points, the pro-White callback gap of the field experiments
Every model from 2024
null or reverseda reversal of up to 3.01 points the other way
After one round of alignment
+152%in the penalty against applicants with disabilities
The direction and the size of the bias depend on the release. GPT-3.5 rated names associated with White applicants
above Asian, Black and Hispanic names.5 A 14-model audit that reproduced the
paired-resume design of the labour-market field experiments found that the 2023 model showed the pro-White callback
gap of 2.12 points, while every model released from 2024 showed a null gap or a reversal of up to 3.01 points in the
other direction.6 In another study, one round of alignment training raised
the advantage for female and Black applicants about fourfold and raised the penalty against applicants with
disabilities by 152 percent.7
An audit therefore describes one release. It stops applying when the vendor updates the model, and vendors update
without notice. Pushing one bias down can raise another.
Figure 2 The sign of the callback gap, by release year of the model
Schematic of the audit's finding: the 2023 model reproduced the human callback gap; later releases showed no gap or a reversal. Individual model values other than the two extremes are not reported here. Source: Gao, Jiang and Yan 2026.
BThe number is not reliable
Problem 4 of 13
The same CV receives different scores
One resume, three models
50.5 / 69.4 / 72.8on a 100-point scale
Shorter job description
+28.9%in one model's scores for the same applicant
If the score is a measurement, the same text should produce the same number. One unchanged resume was scored
50.5, 69.4 and 72.8 by three frontier models. Shortening the job description in the prompt inflated one model's
scores for the same applicant by 28.9 percent.8
A swing of 22 points between vendors covers the distance between a rejection and a strong shortlist. Until its
variance is known, the score is not a measurement in the ordinary sense of the word.
Figure 3 One unchanged resume, three frontier models
The same text received three scores 22 points apart on a 100-point scale. Source: Varshney and Ganuthula 2025.
Problem 5 of 13
The same model does not agree with itself
Pairwise judgments that flip on a rerun
13.6%above 20 percent on 28 percent of the questions; 56 percent on the worst
Identical requests at temperature zero
1,000 → 80distinct completions
Single-run rankings with an inverted pair
83%of the slices tested
A single model does not agree with itself. On identical reruns, 13.6 percent of pairwise judgments flipped; on 28
percent of the questions the flip rate exceeded 20 percent, and on the worst item it reached 56 percent.9
In single-run rankings, where a model orders a batch from best to worst, at least one pairwise rank was inverted in
83 percent of the slices tested.52
Setting the does not remove this. When 1,000 identical requests were sent to a model at
temperature zero, the outputs fell into 80 distinct completions. The cause is not randomness in the sampling but the
serving system: floating-point addition is not associative, the order of the additions changes with the size of the
batch a request happens to share, and a small difference early in the computation can change the next
token.33 The same non-determinism has been documented across providers and
settings,53 and the author has observed it on a university computing cluster.
What this means for a screener
A file submitted on Tuesday and again on Wednesday can receive two different scores from the same model with the
same prompt, and a rank order produced in one run can differ from the rank order of the next. A screener's score
therefore has a run-to-run variance that has to be measured before the score is compared with anything, and
averaging over reruns reduces the noise without touching the bias.
Figure 4 Rerun the judge: 200 identical pairwise judgmentsSimulation at the published rate
Reruns
0
Flipped this rerun
0 of 200
Judgments that flipped at least once
0 of 200
Simulation. Each dot flips independently at the published average rate of 13.6 percent per rerun; on the worst items in the study the rate was 56 percent. Source: Yagubyan 2026.
Problem 6 of 13
Order and format change the answer
First-listed CV wins
63.5%of pairwise comparisons across 22 models
Distance from the fair ideal
0.70 vs 0.20scoring one CV at a time against choosing between two
Adverse-impact ratio
changes signbetween score thresholds 4 and 5
Where a file sits in the stack changes the answer. Across 22 models, including reasoning models, the first-listed
of two CVs won the comparison 63.5 percent of the time.10 The effect
interacts with the quality of the CVs being compared.54
The matters as much. When one CV was copied eight times with a single marker of ethnicity
or gender changed, a fair model would treat every copy alike. Asked to choose between the original and a marked
copy, the models sat 0.20 from the fair ideal of one half; asked to score each copy alone from 0 to 100, they sat
0.70 from the ideal, 3.5 times further. The demographic gap was similar in both formats, at 6 to 7 percent; the
difference came from the models giving different scores to identical CVs when judging them one at a time. Asking
for a written rationale made the fairness of the scores worse.1 In the
teaching-application audit, the adverse-impact ratio changed sign between score thresholds 4 and 5, so the same
model could pass or fail a depending on where the cut was placed.2
Figure 5 Position and format
Left: the first-position advantage across 22 models (Rozado 2025). Right: the distance from the fair ideal under two question formats for the same CVs (Tan et al. 2026).
Problem 7 of 13
Small differences are missed, and the model abstains
Claude Sonnet 4
0.87 to 0.93accuracy on strict-dominance pairs
Llama 3.3 70B
0.44 to 0.50accuracy on the same pairs
Errors that were abstentions
93%unjustified refusals to choose
Real decisions are made at the margin between similar files, and this is where the models are weakest.
Researchers built the other by a single attribute, such as one more year of
relevant experience. Accuracy on those pairs was 0.87 to 0.93 for Claude Sonnet 4 and 0.44 to 0.50 for Llama 3.3
70B, and 93 percent of the errors were unjustified abstentions: the model declined to choose.11
CThe yardstick is itself noisy
Problem 8 of 13
Human raters disagree with each other
Agreement of admissions officers
0.15 to 0.60Krippendorff's alpha on personal qualities
Own-gender leniency
1.74logits, across 3,875 residency files and 69 raters
Model judges reproducing the minority expert reading
0 of 26on contested bar-examination essays
The model is called wrong when it disagrees with the committee, which treats the committee's label as the
standard. Admissions officers coding the personal qualities of applicants agreed with each other at a between 0.15 and 0.60, where 1.0 is perfect agreement and 0 is chance.12
Across 3,875 residency files and 69 raters, raters were more lenient toward applicants of their own gender, a shift
of 1.74 .13 On contested bar-examination essays where the examiners
held a majority and a minority reading, none of 26 language-model judges reproduced the minority
reading.55
Accuracy against the committee therefore has a ceiling set by the committee's own agreement, and a model that
matches the committee closely may be matching one rater's habits rather than the applicant's qualities.
Figure 6 How much the human standard agrees with itself
Krippendorff's alpha for admissions officers' codes of personal qualities, 0.15 to 0.60. A rule of thumb treats 0.67 as the floor for tentative conclusions and 0.80 for reliable ones. Source: Lira et al. 2023.
Problem 9 of 13
Outcomes exist only for the admitted
Admitted in the example
28 of 100when two scores from 1 to 10 must add to at least 14
Correlation among the admitted
−0.50between two scores that are unrelated in the pool
A screener cannot be checked on the applicants it would have admitted but the committee rejected, because they
have no outcome (the problem); naive corrections can make a model appear to beat the human readers when it does
not.14 The distortion, known as , has a simple form. Suppose the committee scores a test
and work experience, each from 1 to 10, and the two are unrelated in the applicant pool. If it admits anyone whose
two scores add to at least 14, it admits 28 of every 100 applicants, and among those admitted the correlation
between test and experience is exactly negative 0.50: to get in with a modest test score you needed strong
experience, and the reverse. Any check of whether experience predicts success that is run only on admits inherits
this, and the same selection can shrink a real effect to zero or reverse its sign.
Figure 7 Selection on the sum of two independent scoresWorked example
Admitted
28 of 100
Correlation in the pool
0.00
Correlation among the admitted
−0.50
Worked example. Two independent scores, each uniform from 1 to 10. Selecting on their sum induces a negative correlation among the admitted at every threshold; selecting on one score alone does not. The arithmetic is exact, not simulated.
Problem 10 of 13
Outcome labels import the market's history
Trained on past hires
9.4% → 4.2%share of Black and Hispanic applicants interviewed
Exploration-based model
24.3%the same share
Training on outcomes imports the history of the market that produced them. A hiring model trained on past
successful hires cut the share of Black and Hispanic applicants receiving interviews from 9.4 to 4.2 percent; an
exploration-based model that valued information about candidates raised it to 24.3
percent.15 Salary and seniority several years after a decision depend on
what happened after the decision, such as mentoring, promotion practices and household choices, so they carry the
biases of the labour market before they can serve as a target for the screener.
DPeople adapt to the screener
Problem 11 of 13
The file changes once a model reads it
Personal statements flagged as AI-assisted
2.6% → 22.5%in one residency cycle, one year apart
Cover-letter quality and callbacks
−51%in the correlation once an AI writing tool was available
Advantage from matching the screener's model family
23 to 60%higher chance of being shortlisted
Once applicants know a model reads the file, the file changes. , instructions hidden in the
document for the model to read, are present in a corpus of about 200,000 real resumes.16
In an experiment that ran a multi-stage hiring pipeline 180 times, the fully automated version produced at least
one unsupported claim in 96.7 percent of its outputs, at 6.80 per output.17
The signal in the writing erodes as well. On a large freelance platform, the correlation between the quality of a
cover letter and the chance of a callback fell by 51 percent when an AI writing tool became
available.18 In one surgical residency cycle, the share of personal
statements flagged as AI-assisted rose from 2.6 to 22.5 percent in a year.56
A screener built on the same model family as the applicant's writing tool gave those applicants a 23 to 60 percent
higher chance of being shortlisted.57 The applicant presses a button to
produce the text and the screener presses a button to produce the score.
Figure 8 Adaptation, in three measured quantities
Sources: Subillaga et al. 2025; Cui, Dias and Ye 2025; Xu, Li and Jiang 2025.
ESystem and governance
Problem 12 of 13
Everyone is rejected by the same model
Applications routed by one shared screener
14.7% / 25.9%to positions with adverse impact on Asian and on Black applicants
When two models both err
60%they give the same wrong answer, across more than 350 models
When every employer buys the same model (an ), an applicant who falls into its blind spot is rejected everywhere at
once. One vendor's shared screener sent 14.7 percent and 25.9 percent of applications to positions with adverse
impact on Asian and on Black applicants respectively.19 A shared model can
lower overall welfare even when it is more accurate than the human readers it replaces, because its errors are
synchronised.20 Across more than 350 models, when two models both erred
they gave the same wrong answer 60 percent of the time, and larger, more accurate models were more correlated, not
less.31 A human hiring market has diversity of judgment: one reader's
rejection is another's interview. A shared screener does not.
Figure 9 One model, many gates
Sources: Bommasani et al. 2026; Kim, Garg, Peng and Garg 2025.
Problem 13 of 13
Nobody knows how the committee will use the number
Reviewers shown a favourable decile
0.42percentage points of movement, standard error 0.33, almost 20,000 applicants
Employers that posted a bias audit
18 of 391covered by New York City's law
The number goes to a person, and it has not been established what the person does with it. In a field experiment
with almost 20,000 applicants to a selective college, experienced reviewers shown a favourable algorithmic decile
moved their own judgments by 0.42 percentage points, with a standard error of 0.33: they did not use
it.21 In laboratory studies, biased recommendations moved
screeners.22 The two results are not contradictory; they show that the
effect of the number depends on who receives it and how, and that this has to be measured in each
deployment. Of 391 employers covered by New York City's bias-audit law, 18 posted an
audit.23
Taking stock
The screener infers the applicant's demographics from the hobbies and the languages on the file. Its written
rationale does not report why it scored the file as it did. Its biases change with each release. It gives a
different score depending on which other requests shared the server at that moment, and a different one again
depending on which file it read first. It abstains where a decision requires nuance. It is checked against a
committee that agrees with itself at 0.15 to 0.60, on the applicants that committee admitted. And once it is in
place, the applicants write for it.
None of these findings depends on one paper. Each is supported by at least one study on real
applications or on a controlled test set, and several have been replicated across model families and countries.
The next part asks what deployers do about them.
Part three
The safeguards in use, and what the tests say
Fourteen measures appear in vendor material, in regulation and in the research literature. A
measure counts as working here only where a published test shows it reducing a measured failure on realistic input.
The matrix below places each measure against the failures it is meant to address. A teal cell marks
a published test in which the measure reduced the failure; an ochre cell marks a measure that is untested on a
screener, tested only on synthetic input, or supported by mixed results; a rust cell marks published evidence that
the measure fails on realistic input. A blank cell means the measure does not address that failure. The hatched
columns are failures for which no measure was found at all. Selecting a coloured cell shows the evidence on both
sides.
Figure 10 Fourteen safeguards against thirteen failures
a published test shows a reductionuntested on a screener, or mixedfails on realistic inputno safeguard found
Reading down a column shows what protects against one failure; reading across a row shows what one measure is asked to do. Six of the thirteen columns contain no teal cell. Sources: the fourteen entries below and the studies in Part two.
A. On the input side
Remove names, photographs and dates. The most common measure and the one regulators expect; it removes the
direct signal. Against it: the model rebuilds the profile from what remains. Blinding 1,373 real teaching applications
barely moved the adverse-impact ratios,2 and in Singapore ethnicity was
recoverable from the language lines alone.1 Necessary, not sufficient.
Structured input: fixed fields, fixed section order, length caps. In principle this removes at the source
the variation that moves scores, since the first-listed CV wins 63.5 percent of comparisons10
and a shorter job description inflated one model's scores by 28.9 percent.8
Against it: no published test of a fixed-form input on a screener was found. The evidence is of the problem, not of
the fix; applicants adapt to whatever the form rewards; and the demographic channel is untouched.
Injection and hidden-text detection. Hidden prompts in structured documents can be detected on
principle,24 and injections are present in a corpus of about 200,000 real
resumes, so detection has a target.16 Against it: it must run permanently,
and it does not cover the pipeline's own fabrications. A fully automated multi-stage pipeline produced an unsupported
claim in 96.7 percent of outputs; prompt guardrails cut the density by 86 percent and human checkpoints reduced it
further, neither to zero.17
B. On the model and prompt side
Anti-bias instructions in the prompt. Low in cost, applicable to any model, effective in controlled
evaluations. Against it: the instructions stop working once realistic context, such as an employer name or culture-fit
notes, is added. The only intervention that held across settings acted on the model's activations, which a closed API
does not expose.4
, where the model extracts features and a fixed rule decides. The
strongest positive evidence in the literature: decomposition cut intervention flips by a median of 49 percent across
11 models;25 binary rubric criteria with filtering across three judge
families removed all disagreement on 16 of 16 ranks over 1,000 real chats;26
across nine debiasing strategies the technique mattered more than the model tier.27
Against it: judges still favour their own model family under rubric criteria,28
which matters as more CVs are written with language models, and the rubric encodes the committee's own criteria, so
the noise in the human standard is inherited rather than removed.
Several models: a , or averaged scores. A panel of smaller judges from different families beat one
large judge, reduced self-preference and cost about seven times less;29
averaging removes exactly the members' disagreement from the error.30 Against
it: models err together. Across more than 350 models, two that both err agree 60 percent of the time, and larger
models are more correlated;31 one systematically failing member gives the
consensus an unbounded bias, and a larger panel does not fix it, only a robust aggregator does.32
Shared bias is what a monoculture spreads.19
Temperature zero, repeated runs, deterministic serving. Batch-invariant kernels remove the hardware
source of run-to-run noise,33 the temperature setting itself changes what a
judge returns,34 and averaging reruns shrinks the noise at a known cost.
Against it: temperature zero is not deterministic on standard serving, where 13.6 percent of pairwise judgments flip
on an identical rerun.9 Reruns average noise, not bias, and no
hiring-specific effect size for majority voting was found.
Choice of format: pairwise or pointwise. The formats fail differently, so the choice is a lever: under
demographic swaps the pairwise format sat 0.20 from the fair ideal against 0.70 for pointwise
scoring.1 Against it: pairwise comparison amplifies wording and tone cues
because the judge contrasts them directly,35 carries the first-position
advantage, and is the format with the 13.6 percent rerun flips. Neither format is safe alone.
Interventions inside the model: . The one measure that held across realistic
settings in the study of realistic context;4 judge bias occupies a
low-dimensional activation subspace, and steering it moves scores about ten times more than random
directions.36 Against it: it needs the weights, which a school or a vendor
using an API model does not have, and it is untested on real applications. This is research, not current practice.
Calibration or fine-tuning on validated labels. Human labels can be budgeted to calibrate several
judges at once,37 and a preregistered design re-anchors three model families
against blinded human ratings every week.38 Against it: validity is rarely
measured because it needs a labelled corpus the model has not seen;11 labels
exist only for the admitted;14 and a model trained on past hires cut the
Black and Hispanic interview share from 9.4 to 4.2 percent.15
C. Process and people
Human review and escalation. Human checkpoints reduced fabrication beyond guardrails
alone;17 in the one end-to-end audit of a deployed hiring pipeline, the human
stages corrected some disparities;39 escalation rules with provable
agreement guarantees exist for general judging tasks.40 Against it: the same
human stages introduced disparities; experienced reviewers shown an algorithmic decile moved 0.42 percentage
points;21 and reviewers agree with each other at an alpha of 0.15 to
0.60.12 Approval by a reviewer is not verification.
Re-audit on every model version. The direction of the bias is a property of the release: in the
14-model audit the 2023 model reproduced the pro-White callback gap and every later model showed a null gap or a
reversal,6 and alignment training amplified the role of race and gender in
another.7 Against it: it is almost never done. Vendor updates are silent,
statutory audits are annual and self-reported, and no off-the-shelf harness reruns the test at low cost.
D. Governance
Statutory bias audits with (New York City Local Law 144). The law forces a measurement in
a form regulators read: selection-rate ratios and the four-fifths rule. Against it: 18 of 391 covered employers posted
an audit;23 the enforcing agency found one non-compliance among 32 companies
where the state auditor found at least 17;41 and aggregate selection rates
cannot see Problems 1, 2, 4 or 5.
Certification and standards (vendor audits, the , , the
EU AI Act, Singapore's ). The EU AI Act makes recruitment AI high-risk, with logging, human oversight and
monitoring, obligations now due from December 2027;4258 Colorado enacted a duty-of-care and impact-assessment statute in 2024 and, before it took effect, replaced it in May 2026 with a narrower disclosure regime from January 2027;4360 AI Verify's fairness pillar tests decision consistency under
attribute changes.44 Against it: the NIST framework and ISO/IEC 42001 certify
that a process exists, not that it caught anything;4546
the most audited vendor's own earlier auditor described its review as not comprehensive;47
and in the hiring literature, 15 to 20 percent of the mitigations proposed for bias and discrimination report an empirical test, and about 60 to 65 percent of all mitigation mentions are proposed without one.48
Why the safeguards do not close the gap
Read together, the fourteen entries share a small number of reasons for falling short, and the
reasons are structural rather than a matter of effort.
They act where the failure is visible, not where it lives. Removing the name acts on the file; the demographic
signal is in the hobbies and the languages. An instruction acts on the prompt; the decision is made in the
activations. The one intervention that held in realistic settings needs the weights, which the deployer does not
have.4
They were tested somewhere else. Rubrics, juries and format choice were tested on synthetic input or on
general judging tasks. The scoping review of the hiring literature found that 15 to 20 percent of the mitigations
proposed for bias and discrimination report an empirical test, that about 60 to 65 percent of all mitigation
mentions are proposed without one, and that fairness outcomes were measured about a third as often as
efficiency.48 The frontier is not a shortage of proposals but the absence
of tests on real screening input.
They reduce noise, not bias. Reruns and juries shrink the run-to-run variance. They leave the shared component
of the error in place, and the shared component is what a monoculture spreads: two models that both err agree 60
percent of the time.31
They inherit the standard they are calibrated to. A rubric encodes the committee's criteria; a fine-tuned
model learns the committee's labels; both inherit the committee's agreement of 0.15 to 0.60 and the selection of
who has an outcome at all.1214
They are done once, and the failure is per release. An audit describes the model that was audited. The sign
of the callback gap changed between the 2023 release and every release since.6
They measure the report, not the mechanism. A selection-rate ratio, a log and a human signature are the form
the governance measures take. None of them can see a rerun flip, a position effect, or a rationale that does not
report the driver.
Measures with positive published evidence exist for Problems 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 11, each partial, and for Problem 1
only inside the model. No measure with positive evidence was found for Problems 7, 8, 9, 10, 12 or 13, and for
Problems 9 and 10 no measure was found at all. That is the state of the safeguards in September 2026, as far as the
published record shows; a measure may exist in a vendor's practice without a published test, and the essay cannot
speak to those.
Part four
What the rules require, and what they measure
Governance of automated screening exists in several jurisdictions. What it requires is a report
in a fixed form. What it does not require is the measurement that found the failures in Part two.
The duty to report
New York City's has been enforced since 5 July 2023. An employer using an automated
employment decision tool must obtain an independent bias audit at least annually, publish a summary, and notify
candidates ten business days before the tool is used. The audit reports selection rates and impact ratios by sex,
race and ethnicity and their intersections, in the four-fifths form that employment law has used for
decades.59 In the first year, of 391 employers that researchers identified as
covered, 18 posted an audit.23 The New York State Comptroller then audited
the enforcing agency for July 2023 to June 2025: the agency had logged two complaints, reviewed the websites and audits
of 32 companies and found one instance of non-compliance, while the Comptroller's auditors found at least 17
instances of potential non-compliance among the same 32, and 75 percent of test calls to the city's complaint line
never reached the agency.41
Figure 11 The bias-audit law in its first two years
Left: 18 of 391 covered employers posted an audit (Wright et al. 2024). Right: the same 32 companies, reviewed by the enforcing agency and by the State Comptroller's auditors (Office of the New York State Comptroller 2025).
At the federal level, the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission's position has been that Title VII,
the Americans with Disabilities Act and the Age Discrimination in Employment Act already reach automated tools through
,61 and its one settled case involved hard age cut-offs in
an applicant system, resolved for 365,000 US dollars in 2023.62 Its 2023
technical assistance on assessing adverse impact in software and algorithms was removed from the agency's website on
27 January 2025, following an executive order of 23 January.63 The
litigation that matters most is Mobley v. Workday, in which a federal court allowed disparate-impact claims
against the vendor to proceed on the theory that the vendor acts as the employer's agent, in July 2024, and
conditionally certified a nationwide collective of applicants aged 40 and over in May 2025; in 2026 the court held
that the age statute covers applicants, treated the vendor's own bias-testing data as privileged while ordering other
records produced, and let proxy-discrimination claims proceed. No trial date has been set.6465
Two states have moved further. Illinois amended its Human Rights Act, in force from 1 January 2026,
to make it a civil rights violation for an employer to use artificial intelligence that has a discriminatory effect on
a protected class, to bar the use of postal codes as a proxy, and to require notice; the implementing rules on that
notice were proposed in May 2026 and withdrawn in June.66 Colorado signed a
duty-of-care statute with annual impact assessments in May 2024, delayed it to June 2026, and then, in May 2026,
repealed and re-enacted it as a narrower disclosure regime for automated decision-making technology from 1 January
2027. The original framework never took effect.4360
The high-risk category
The European Union's AI Act lists, in its , the uses it classes as high-risk. They include
recruitment and the selection of natural persons, access and admission to educational institutions and the evaluation
of learning outcomes, creditworthiness, risk assessment and pricing in life and health insurance, eligibility for
essential public benefits, law enforcement, migration and border control, and systems "intended to be used by a
judicial authority or on their behalf to assist a judicial authority in researching and interpreting facts and the law
and in applying the law to a concrete set of facts".42 The list is, almost
exactly, the list of places where a language model is now being asked to return a number about a person. The
obligations that attach to the category, including logging, human oversight and post-market monitoring, were due to
apply from 2 August 2026. On 27 July 2026 a further regulation entered into force that moved that date to 2 December
2027 for the Annex III systems and to 2 August 2028 for high-risk products, on the ground that the harmonised
standards were not ready.58
Singapore's instruments are voluntary. AI Verify, launched in 2022 and open-sourced in June 2023, is a
self-assessment toolkit whose fairness tests check whether a system makes the same decision when a sensitive
attribute is changed;44 the Tripartite Guidelines on Fair Employment
Practices operate on a comply-or-explain basis and do not mention automated tools;67
the Workplace Fairness Act, passed in January 2025, will be the first binding employment-discrimination statute to
reach decisions assisted by such tools, and has not commenced.68 The United
Kingdom's judiciary issued guidance for judicial office holders in December 2023, updated in April and October 2025,
which permits some uses of the tools and reminds judges that they are "personally responsible for material which is
produced in their name".69
Standards and certificates
The management standards that vendors cite are process standards. The NIST AI Risk Management
Framework states that it "does not prescribe risk tolerance" and that its actions "do not constitute a checklist";
it structures an organisation's own process.45 ISO/IEC 42001 is described by
the standards body as providing "a practical way of managing AI-related risks and opportunities across an
organization" rather than "looking at the details of specific AI applications".46
A certificate under either says that the organisation has a process. It does not say that the process caught a
rerun flip, a position effect or a demographic inference. The most audited vendor in the sector announced an external
bias audit in 2023 in a release that described its previous review as not comprehensive.47
2023
New York City · 5 JulyLocal Law 144 enforced. Annual bias audits with impact ratios, a public summary and candidate notice.
United States · AugustiTutorGroup settles with the EEOC for 365,000 US dollars over age cut-offs in an applicant system.
Singapore · JuneAI Verify open-sourced. A voluntary testing toolkit; its fairness test changes a sensitive attribute and checks the decision.
United Kingdom · DecemberJudicial guidance on artificial intelligence issued. Judges may use the tools for some tasks and remain personally responsible.
2024
European UnionThe AI Act is adopted. Annex III classes recruitment, admission, credit, insurance, benefits and judicial assistance as high-risk.
Colorado · MaySB 24-205 signed. A duty of care and annual impact assessments for high-risk systems, to start in February 2026.
United States · JulyMobley v. Workday proceeds. Disparate-impact claims against the vendor go forward on the agent theory.
2025
United States · 27 JanuaryThe EEOC's adverse-impact guidance is removed from its website after an executive order of 23 January.
United States · 16 MayA nationwide collective is conditionally certified in Mobley v. Workday for applicants aged 40 and over.
Colorado · 28 AugustThe effective date is delayed to 30 June 2026.
European Commission · 19 NovemberThe Digital Omnibus is proposed, linking the high-risk deadline to the readiness of standards.
New York State · 2 DecemberThe Comptroller's audit is published. One non-compliance found by the agency; at least 17 by the auditors.
2026
Illinois · 1 JanuaryThe Human Rights Act amendment takes effect. Discriminatory effect from artificial intelligence becomes a civil rights violation; postal-code proxies are barred.
Colorado · 14 MaySB 26-189 repeals and re-enacts the statute as a disclosure regime for automated decision-making technology, from 1 January 2027.
United States · March to JuneThree further rulings in Mobley v. Workday. Applicants are covered; the vendor's own bias-testing data is privileged; proxy claims proceed.
European Union · 27 JulyRegulation (EU) 2026/1744 enters into force. The high-risk obligations move to 2 December 2027.
European Union · 2 DecemberThe Annex III obligations apply, if the date holds.
Singapore · expected by year endThe Workplace Fairness Act commences.
What the layer measures
Placed against Part two, the governance layer has a definite shape. It creates the obligation to
measure and fixes the form of the report: a selection-rate ratio, a log, a human in the loop, a certificate that a
process exists. It supplies no measurement that reaches the mechanisms. A selection-rate ratio computed once a year
cannot see that the ratio changes sign between two score thresholds, that the same file scores differently on a
rerun, that the first-listed file wins, or that the rationale does not report the driver. A log records what the
model returned, not whether it would have returned it again. A human signature records that a person approved the
output, and the field experiment in Part two shows how little the person may have engaged with it. And the deadlines
that would have made the European obligations bite were moved back by sixteen months in the summer of 2026,
before any Annex III system had been through them.
The state of the governance, in one paragraph
Every jurisdiction examined here has either a voluntary instrument, a statute that reports selection rates, or a
statute whose obligations have been postponed or narrowed before taking effect. None requires the measurements that
the published studies used to find the thirteen failures. Enforcement of the one operating statute found one
non-compliance where an independent auditor found seventeen. The published record on the safeguards themselves
shows 15 to 20 percent of the proposed bias mitigations tested. The gap between what is known about the instrument
and what is required of it is the subject of the rest of this essay.
Part five
Beyond hiring: where the same instrument is heading
A screener is one use of a general technique: a language model reads a document about a
person and returns a judgment. The technique is now being applied wherever such documents queue up.
The thirteen failures are properties of the technique, not of the hiring setting. A model that
rebuilds ethnicity from the languages on a CV rebuilds it from the languages in a loan application. A rationale that
does not report the driver of a hiring score does not report the driver of a claim denial. A rerun that flips 13.6
percent of pairwise judgments flips them whether the pair is two candidates or two essays. The list below is the
Annex III list of the EU AI Act, in effect: the uses that a legislature has already identified as high-risk are the
uses where the instrument is arriving. Each entry records only what has been documented, with a date; the
diagram marks whether the domain has a documented deployment of a language model, a precedent from an earlier
automated system, a published study of the failure modes, or a rule that names it.
Select a sector, or a card below, for the documented cases and sources.
a documented deployment of a language model a precedent from an earlier automated system named as high-risk or regulated
Three things the cases have in common
The decision is about a named person, made from a document they wrote. The output is a number, a label or a
draft that a person is supposed to check. And in every documented case where the checking was examined, the
checking was thinner than the policy said: a claim reviewed in 1.2 seconds, an order signed with citations that
did not exist, a review written by a model under a rule that required disclosure.
What travels
Each domain inherits the failures that its documents and its decision structure expose. Essay scoring
exposes the proxy channel through first language and writing style,7172
the prestige channel through the name of the institution,73 and the adaptation
loop through machine-written essays. Lending exposes the gap between the rationale and the driver, in a setting where
the regulator has stated that "creditors must be able to specifically explain their reasons for denial. There is no
special exemption for artificial intelligence."75 Peer review exposes prompt injection, since a hidden
instruction in a manuscript is the same object as a hidden instruction in a CV,87
and the monoculture, since one model reviewing every submission repeats one preference across a whole
field.89 Claims processing exposes the human-in-the-loop failure in its
starkest documented form: 1.2 seconds of review per denial.76 Courts expose
the rationale failure as fabricated citations in signed orders.84 And every
domain in the list is one where the person judged has little means of knowing that a model was involved, and less of
knowing what it saw.
The earlier systems in the benefits and immigration cases were not language models; they were risk scores built
from a handful of fields, one of which was nationality. They are included because they show what happened when an
automated score about a person was deployed at national scale with a thin human check and no measurement of its
behaviour: a government resigned,79 a royal commission found a scheme
"neither fair nor legal",80 and a tool was withdrawn on the eve of a court
hearing.82 The language model differs from those systems in one respect
that matters here: it reads the whole document, so the proxies it can use are not a handful of fields but
everything the person wrote.
Admissions and grading
Automated scoring of what students write
Documented useStudiedEU high-risk
Texas, spring 2024. The Texas Education Agency introduced an automated scoring engine, described as using natural language processing, for open-ended responses on the STAAR test. About three quarters of responses are scored by the computer alone; a quarter are rescored by humans, and responses the engine scores with low confidence are reassigned to a human.70
First-language bias. In a cross-prompt evaluation of an open-weight model on TOEFL essays, non-native phrasing cost an applicant up to 1.35 points out of 10 even when the model was instructed to ignore writing style, and essays from European language backgrounds scored higher than essays from East Asian backgrounds within the same proficiency band.71 Writing style shifted automated grades across mathematics, programming and essay tasks in another study.72
Prestige. In three factorial experiments, an elite institution on the file inflated the score by nearly a third of a point on a ten-point scale, about 1.5 times the effect of the applicant's country of origin.73 Entity-level membership tests can detect whether a model has seen a specific person in its training data with an accuracy of up to 0.97, so a model may recognise an applicant with a public record and not one without.74
The rule. Annex III of the EU AI Act lists systems that determine access or admission to educational institutions and that evaluate learning outcomes as high-risk.42
Failures that travel: 1 (proxies), 6 (order and format), 8 (the human standard), 11 (machine-written essays).
Credit
Fair text, biased internals, and a duty to state the real reasons
StudiedRegulatedEU high-risk
Mortgage underwriting, 2026. With instruction-tuned models, the written decision showed no bias while the internal representation still encoded the applicant's race; re-injecting that representation reversed the decisions.50
Dialect, 2024. Models made covertly prejudiced decisions about hypothetical people on the basis of African American English, including in employment and legal scenarios, while their overt statements about the same group were favourable; training with human feedback widened the gap.49
The rule. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's Circular 2023-03 (19 September 2023) states that creditors using complex algorithms or artificial intelligence must still give specific and accurate reasons for an adverse decision: "Creditors must be able to specifically explain their reasons for denial. There is no special exemption for artificial intelligence."75 Annex III lists creditworthiness evaluation of natural persons as high-risk.42
Failures that travel: 1 (proxies), 2 (the rationale does not report the driver, which is what the circular requires it to do), 3 (per release).
Insurance and health claims
Bulk denials, and a model that supports the reviewer
Documented usePrecedentEU high-risk
Cigna, 2023. A proposed class action filed on 24 July 2023 alleged that an algorithm called PXDX let the insurer deny more than 300,000 payment requests over two months in 2022, with physicians signing off on batches at an average of 1.2 seconds of review per request.76
Medicare, 2026. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services announced the WISeR prior-authorisation model on 27 June 2025, to run from 1 January 2026 in six states, with the statement that final decisions "will be made by licensed clinicians, not machines".77 Records released in September 2026 after a lawsuit by the Electronic Frontier Foundation show that in the first three months two vendors denied 5,944 requests, one vendor denied more requests than it approved, some responses took up to 83 days against a 72-hour standard, and vendors are paid per denial with a 5 to 10 percent quality penalty for denials overturned on appeal.78
The rule. Annex III lists risk assessment and pricing in life and health insurance as high-risk.42
Failures that travel: 12 (one vendor, every claim), 13 (what the human does with the number).
Public benefits
Two national precedents
PrecedentEU high-risk
The Netherlands. The tax administration's risk-scoring system for childcare benefits used nationality as a factor. The Dutch Data Protection Authority found that the administration had for years processed applicants' nationality "in an unlawful, discriminatory, and therefore improper manner" and fined it 2.75 million euros in December 2021; the cabinet had resigned over the affair in January 2021.79
Australia. The Royal Commission into the Robodebt scheme reported on 7 July 2023 that the scheme was "neither fair nor legal".80 A class-action settlement approved in June 2021 covered 1.73 billion Australian dollars in debts unlawfully raised against about 433,000 people, of which 751 million had already been recovered from 381,000 of them.81
The rule. Annex III lists systems used by public authorities to evaluate eligibility for essential public benefits as high-risk.42
Failures that travel: 1 (a field that stands in for a protected group), 12 (one system, every applicant), 13 (a thin human check).
Immigration
A streaming tool with a secret list
PrecedentEU high-risk
United Kingdom, 2020. The Home Office's visa-application streaming tool assigned a red, amber or green risk rating, with a secret list of nationalities automatically rated red. After a challenge by the Joint Council for the Welfare of Immigrants and the firm Foxglove, the Home Office agreed to stop using the tool from 7 August 2020, shortly before the hearing; it was described as the first successful judicial review of a United Kingdom government algorithmic decision system.82
The rule. Annex III lists migration, asylum and border-control management as high-risk.42
Failures that travel: 1 (nationality as a direct or inferred field), 13 (nobody outside the office could see the list).
Courts
Four documented encounters
Documented useRegulatedEU high-risk
Colombia, 30 January 2023. A judge of the First Circuit Labour Court of Cartagena ruled in favour of an autistic child in a dispute over insurance coverage and wrote in the judgment that he had consulted ChatGPT, transcribing the questions and the answers into the ruling; he stated that the decision was his own.83
United States, 2025. A district judge in New Jersey withdrew an opinion of 30 June 2025 after fabricated quotations and misstated case outcomes were found in it, and a district judge in Mississippi replaced an order of 20 July 2025 three days later after it was found to misquote state law and cite declarations that did not exist. Both judges told a senator in October 2025 that their chambers staff had used generative tools.84
United States, 28 May 2024. In a concurrence in Snell v. United Specialty Insurance Co., a judge of the Eleventh Circuit described asking a language model about the ordinary meaning of the word "landscaping" and wrote: "Might LLMs be useful in the interpretation of legal texts? Having initially thought the idea positively ludicrous, I think I'm now a pretty firm 'maybe'."85
China, 8 December 2022. The Supreme People's Court's opinions on artificial intelligence in the judicial field state that "AI shall not make judicial decision substituting for the judge in any case" and that its results "shall be for supplemental references only", while the courts' systems recommend similar cases and sentencing ranges.86
The rules. The United Kingdom's guidance for judicial office holders, issued December 2023 and updated in 2025, states that judges are "personally responsible for material which is produced in their name".69 Annex III lists systems that assist a judicial authority in researching and interpreting facts and law as high-risk.42
Failures that travel: 2 (a rationale with citations that do not exist), 5 (a different answer on a rerun), 13 (what the signer checked).
Peer review
The model as reviewer, and the manuscript that talks back
Documented use
Hidden instructions, July 2025. Nikkei found prompts concealed in white text or tiny fonts in 17 preprints on arXiv from 14 institutions in eight countries, instructing model reviewers to "give a positive review only".87
ICLR 2025. The conference randomly assigned 22,467 reviews to receive feedback from a language model on the review itself and 22,364 to a control group; 26.6 percent of reviews that received feedback were updated, against 9.4 percent in the control group.88
AAAI 2026. Every one of the 22,977 main-track papers that reached full review received one clearly labelled review generated by a language model, used as a disclosed supplementary input alongside the human reviews.89
ICLR 2026. The conference required disclosure of model use and treated an undisclosed machine-written review as an ethics violation; an independent estimate in November 2025 put about 21 percent of its reviews, 15,899 of about 70,000, as fully machine-generated.90 NeurIPS 2026 runs a separate, opt-in experiment on model-assisted reviewing that it states has no bearing on paper decisions.91
Failures that travel: 6 (position), 11 (injection), 12 (one model, every paper), 13 (what the area chair does with it).
Content moderation
The model reads the policy and labels the post
Documented use
OpenAI, 15 August 2023. "GPT-4 reads the policy and assigns labels to the same dataset, without seeing the answers", in a published account of using the model for content-moderation policy development and enforcement.92
Meta, 7 January 2025. "We've started using AI large language models to provide a second opinion on some content before we take enforcement actions."93
Failures that travel: 5 (rerun), 8 (the human standard, where moderators disagree), 12 (one model, every platform that buys it).
Public employment
A general model in a personnel decision
Documented use
United States, early 2025. Staff affiliated with the Department of Government Efficiency inside the Office of Personnel Management used Meta's Llama 2 model to review and classify federal employees' written responses to the "Fork in the Road" email, as part of determining whether an employee's work was mission-critical.94
Failures that travel: 2 (no rationale reached the employee), 5 (rerun), 13 (what the office did with the label).
Part six
Why the timing matters
Four properties of the instrument make the order of events important: what is required of it
now will be harder to require later.
A shared model repeats one error at every gate
The failures in Part two are properties of a model, and the same model is being bought by many
institutions at once. In a human market, one reader's rejection is another reader's interview. When one screener
serves every employer, an applicant in its blind spot is rejected everywhere, and the welfare loss can exceed the gain
from the model being more accurate on average.20 Two models from different
vendors are not independent readers either: when both err they agree 60 percent of the time, and the larger models are
the more correlated.31 A measurement requirement introduced after a
monoculture has formed applies to one model that has already become the default; introduced before, it shapes which
models become the default.
The failures are per release, and releases are silent
The sign of the callback gap changed between the 2023 model and every model since,6
and one round of alignment training raised one penalty by 152 percent.7 A
vendor updates the model without notice, and a statutory audit is annual and self-reported. Every year in which the
rules do not require a per-release measurement is a year of decisions made under a bias whose direction nobody
recorded.
The applicant pool adapts, and does not adapt back
The share of personal statements flagged as machine-assisted rose from 2.6 to 22.5 percent in one
year;56 the correlation between cover-letter quality and callbacks fell by
51 percent when a writing tool became available;18 the writing tool and the
screener favour each other.57 Each cycle of screening teaches the next cohort
what the screener rewards. A standard introduced later meets a pool that has already been shaped, and the signal it
would have measured is partly gone.
The rules being written now fix the form of the report for years
New York City fixed the four-fifths selection-rate ratio as the form of its audit in 2021, and every
audit since has taken that form.59 The European harmonised standards that
will define what "tested" means for a high-risk system are being drafted now, against a deadline that was moved to
December 2027;58 Colorado's framework was narrowed to disclosure before it
took effect;60 Singapore's binding statute has been passed and has not
commenced.68 The technical content of these instruments, which measurements
they require, at which cadence, on what input, is being decided in 2026 and 2027, and the published record shows that
the measurements that find the failures are not the measurements the instruments currently name.
This essay does not argue that the tools should not be used, and it does not claim that the human readers they
replace were reliable; Part two shows they were not. It argues something narrower: the instrument is being deployed
before the measurements that would characterise it exist in the rules that govern it, and the moment to require
those measurements is before the deployments become the default. Whether the requirement is proportionate in a given
setting is a judgment the essay leaves to the people who make it.
Coda
What should we do
Research on this question is in progress in collaboration with the
National University of Singapore. The results will be published in 2026 and 2027.
The numbers on this page are of three kinds: results reported in
published studies, figures from official documents and court records, and one worked arithmetic example. Each is tied
to a source in the list below, fetched and read before it was cited. Regulatory dates are as of 16 September 2026 and
will change. Corrections are welcome by email.
Appendix
Sources
Ninety-four sources. Studies are listed with their arXiv identifier or DOI; documents and reports
with the address at which they were read. Every source was fetched and read before it was cited; records 1 to 57 were
checked by machine against the project bibliography on 15 September 2026, and records 58 to 94 were fetched on 16
September 2026. Hover over or select any superscript in the text to see its source.
Show the list
Small Changes, Big Impact: Demographic Bias in LLM-Based Hiring Through Subtle Sociocultural Markers in Anonymised Resumes.Tan, B. C. Z., Khoo, S., Doan, B. N., Liu, Z. et al.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2603.05189
Auditing the Use of Language Models to Guide Hiring Decisions.Gaebler, J. D., Goel, S., Huq, A., Tambe, P.arXiv, 2024.arXiv:2404.03086
Mitigating Label Bias with Interpretable Rubric Embeddings.Isley, C., Gaebler, J. D., Goel, S.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2605.21455
Robustly Improving LLM Fairness in Realistic Settings via Interpretability.Karvonen, A., Marks, S. D.arXiv, 2025.arXiv:2506.10922
The Silicon Ceiling: Auditing GPT's Race and Gender Biases in Hiring.Armstrong, L., Liu, A., MacNeil, S., Metaxa, D.arXiv, 2024.arXiv:2405.04412
Can LLMs Hire Fairly? Racial Bias in Resume Screening.Gao, Z., Jiang, W., Yan, Y.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2606.28978
AI Alignment Amplifies the Role of Race, Gender, and Disability in Hiring Decisions.Wang, Z., Shen, G., Thaler, M.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2605.13866
Signal or Noise? Evaluating Large Language Models in Resume Screening Across Contextual Variations and Human Expert Benchmarks.Varshney, A., Ganuthula, V. R. R.arXiv, 2025.arXiv:2507.08019
The Coin Flip Judge? Reliability and Bias in LLM-as-a-Judge Evaluation.Yagubyan, A.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2606.13685
Gender and Positional Biases in LLM-Based Hiring Decisions: Evidence from Comparative CV/Résumé Evaluations.Rozado, D.arXiv, 2025.arXiv:2505.17049
Measuring Validity in LLM-based Resume Screening.Castleman, J., Shen, Z., Metevier, B., Springer, M. et al.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2602.18550
Using artificial intelligence to assess personal qualities in college admissions.Lira, B., Gardner, M., Quirk, A., Stone, C. et al.Science Advances, 2023.doi:10.1126/sciadv.adg9405
Examining Differential Rater Functioning and Bias in the Holistic Review of Residency Applications.Barnes, L. A., Sebok-Syer, S. S., Wind, S. A., Nord, K. M.Journal of Graduate Medical Education, 2026.doi:10.4300/jgme-d-25-00491.1
The Selective Labels Problem: Evaluating Algorithmic Predictions in the Presence of Unobservables.Lakkaraju, H., Kleinberg, J., Leskovec, J., Ludwig, J., Mullainathan, S.Proceedings of the 23rd ACM SIGKDD Conference, 2017.doi:10.1145/3097983.3098066
Hiring as Exploration.Li, D., Raymond, L., Bergman, P.arXiv, 2024.arXiv:2411.03616
Measuring Real-World Prompt Injection Attacks in LLM-based Resume Screening.Zhang, M., Jia, Y., Tan, Z., Jiang, S. et al.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2605.28999
Mitigating Fabrication in Multi-Stage LLM Pipelines for Hiring: An Empirical Evaluation of Prompt Guardrails and Human-in-the-Loop Checkpoints.Takano, H.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2608.26171
Signaling in the Age of AI: Evidence from Cover Letters.Cui, J., Dias, G., Ye, J.arXiv, 2025.arXiv:2509.25054
Algorithmic Monocultures in Hiring.Bommasani, R., Bana, S. H., Creel, K., Jurafsky, D. et al.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2605.27371
Algorithmic Monoculture and Social Welfare.Kleinberg, J., Raghavan, M.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2021.doi:10.1073/pnas.2018340118
Does Algorithmic Uncertainty Sway Human Experts? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Selective College Admissions.Lee, H., Alvero, A. J., Kizilcec, R. F., Joachims, T.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2602.00241
Resume Screening, Fast and Slow: (Biased) AI Recommendations' Influence on Human Decision Making.Wilson, K., Sim, M., Gueorguieva, A.-M., Chatterjee, S. et al.arXiv, 2026.arXiv:2606.22213
Null Compliance: NYC Local Law 144 and the Challenges of Algorithm Accountability.Wright, L., Muenster, R. M., Vecchione, B., Qu, T., Cai, P., Metcalf, J., Matias, J. N.arXiv, 2024.arXiv:2406.01399
PhantomLint: Principled Detection of Hidden LLM Prompts in Structured Documents.Murray, T.arXiv, 2025.arXiv:2508.17884
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Glossary
Language model as a judge
Using a language model to grade or rank something on behalf of a person: an essay, an answer, an application. The model receives the item and a description of the criteria, and returns a score, a rank or a choice, often with a written justification. The technique was developed to evaluate other models' outputs at scale and carries measured biases there: for the item in the first position, for longer items, and for items written by the judge's own model family. A screener is this technique applied to a person's file.
Glossary
Macro F1
A score for a classifier from 0 to 1. For each class, the F1 score is the harmonic mean of precision (the share of predicted members of the class that belong to it) and recall (the share of true members that were found). Macro F1 averages the per-class scores with equal weight, so a rare class counts as much as a common one. A macro F1 of 0.97 for ethnicity means the model recovered nearly every applicant's ethnicity across the groups, not only the largest.
Glossary
Area under the curve
The probability that a classifier ranks a randomly chosen positive example above a randomly chosen negative one. A value of 0.5 is chance; 1.0 is perfect separation. An area of 0.996 for gender from the text embeddings of real applications means the representation the model builds of the file separates the two groups almost completely, whether or not the model is asked about gender.
Glossary
Adverse-impact ratio and the four-fifths rule
The selection rate of one group divided by the selection rate of the group with the highest rate. Under the four-fifths rule used in United States employment practice since 1978, a ratio below 0.8 is taken as evidence of adverse impact. New York City's audit law reports these ratios by sex, race and ethnicity and their intersections. The ratio depends on where the score threshold is placed; in one audit it changed sign between thresholds 4 and 5. It summarises outcomes across a group and cannot see whether an individual file would have scored differently on a rerun or in a different position.
Glossary
Krippendorff's alpha
A measure of agreement between raters that corrects for the agreement expected by chance. A value of 1.0 means the raters gave every item the same code; 0 means their agreement is what chance would produce; negative values mean systematic disagreement. A common rule of thumb treats 0.67 as the floor for tentative conclusions and 0.80 for reliable ones. Admissions officers coding personal qualities reached 0.15 to 0.60, which sets a ceiling on how well any model can agree with them.
Glossary
Logit
The natural logarithm of the odds. A shift of 1.74 logits multiplies the odds by about 5.7. In the residency study, a rater's odds of giving a favourable score were that much higher for an applicant of the rater's own gender, holding the applicant's file constant.
Glossary
Selective labels
The situation in which an outcome is observed only for the people who passed a decision: whether a student thrived is known only for the admitted, whether a borrower repaid only for those given the loan. A model cannot be checked on the people it would have accepted and the human readers rejected, because they have no outcome. Naive comparisons that ignore this can show a model beating the human readers when it does not.
Glossary
Range restriction
The change in the relationship between two variables that occurs when a sample is selected on a combination of them. Two scores that are unrelated in the applicant pool become negatively related among the admitted when admission depends on their sum, because a low value on one had to be compensated by a high value on the other. The worked example on this page uses two uniform scores and a threshold of 14; the correlation among the admitted is exactly negative 0.50.
Glossary
Temperature zero and batch invariance
Temperature controls how much randomness the sampler adds when the model chooses each token; at zero it takes the most probable token every time. The output can still differ between runs because the arithmetic is not identical between runs: floating-point addition is not associative, and the serving kernels change the order of additions with the size of the batch a request happens to share, which follows the server's load. Kernels that keep the same order regardless of batch size are called batch-invariant; with them, 1,000 identical requests produced 1,000 identical outputs, against 80 distinct outputs without them.
Glossary
Pairwise and pointwise
Two ways to ask a judge. Pointwise: score this file alone on a fixed scale. Pairwise: here are two files, which is stronger. The two formats fail differently. Pointwise scoring gave identical files different scores; pairwise choice carried a first-position advantage and amplified wording cues because the judge contrasts the two texts directly. Under demographic swaps the pairwise format sat 0.20 from the fair ideal against 0.70 for pointwise.
Glossary
Prompt injection
Text placed in a document so that a model reading the document treats it as an instruction: for instance, white text on a white background telling the screener to rate the candidate highly. A human reader does not see it; the model does. Injections have been found in a corpus of about 200,000 real resumes, and detection tools exist for hidden text in structured documents.
Glossary
Algorithmic monoculture
The situation in which many decision makers rely on the same model, so that its errors are made everywhere at once. The term comes from a 2021 analysis showing that a shared algorithm can lower overall welfare even when it is more accurate than the independent human judgments it replaces, because the independence of those judgments had value of its own. In hiring, one vendor's shared screener has been shown to route a measurable share of applications to positions with adverse impact.
Glossary
Disparate impact
In United States employment law, a practice that is neutral on its face but falls more heavily on a protected group, which the employer must then justify as job-related and consistent with business necessity. It is the doctrine under which an automated screener can be challenged without proof that anyone intended to discriminate, and the theory on which the claims in Mobley v. Workday proceed.
Glossary
Annex III of the EU AI Act
The list of uses that Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 classes as high-risk: biometrics, critical infrastructure, education and vocational training, employment and workers' management, access to essential private and public services (including credit and life and health insurance), law enforcement, migration and border control, and the administration of justice and democratic processes. Providers of a system in the list must meet obligations on risk management, data governance, logging, human oversight and post-market monitoring. The date from which those obligations apply was moved from 2 August 2026 to 2 December 2027 by Regulation (EU) 2026/1744.
Glossary
New York City Local Law 144
The first statute anywhere to require a bias audit of automated employment decision tools, enacted in 2021 and enforced from 5 July 2023. The audit is an independent, annual calculation of selection rates and impact ratios by sex, race and ethnicity; a summary must be published and candidates notified ten business days before use. Researchers found 18 of 391 covered employers had posted an audit, and the State Comptroller found enforcement had identified one non-compliance where its own auditors found at least 17.
Glossary
AI Verify
Singapore's voluntary testing framework and toolkit for AI governance, released as a minimum viable product in 2022 and open-sourced through the AI Verify Foundation in June 2023. It combines a process checklist with technical tests; its fairness test checks whether a system makes the same decision when a sensitive attribute is changed. It is a self-assessment; it does not certify a system and no statute requires it.
Glossary
NIST AI Risk Management Framework
A voluntary framework published by the United States National Institute of Standards and Technology in January 2023 to help organisations structure how they govern, map, measure and manage AI risk. Its own text states that it does not prescribe risk tolerance and that its actions do not constitute a checklist. It describes a process an organisation can adopt; it does not test a system.
Glossary
ISO/IEC 42001
An international management-system standard for artificial intelligence, published in December 2023, in the family of ISO 9001 for quality and ISO 27001 for information security. Certification audits an organisation's policies, roles and procedures for AI, which the standards body describes as managing risks across an organisation rather than looking at the details of specific applications. A certificate says the management system exists.
Glossary
Alignment training
The stage of training in which a model is adjusted, usually with human feedback, to follow instructions and to avoid outputs its developer considers harmful. It changes what the model says. The studies on this page found that it can leave the model's internal representation of a person's group intact while removing that group from the text of the rationale, and that it can raise one demographic penalty while lowering another.
Glossary
Probes, steering and activations
Activations are the numbers a model computes internally as it reads a text. A probe is a small classifier trained on those numbers to detect a concept, such as the applicant's gender, whether or not the model's text mentions it. Steering adds or removes a direction in the activations to change the model's behaviour. These methods need access to the weights, which a deployer using a vendor's API does not have, and they have not been tested on real applications.
Glossary
Rubric decomposition
Instead of asking the model for one overall score, the model is asked to extract specific features (years of experience, degree, a named skill) and a fixed rule combines them. It reduced the share of judgments that flipped when an irrelevant detail was changed, by a median of 49 percent across 11 models in one study. The rubric encodes whoever wrote it, so the noise in the human standard is inherited rather than removed.
Glossary
Strict-dominance pair
A test pair of two files that are identical except that one is better on a single attribute, such as one more year of relevant experience. A correct judge should always prefer the dominant file. Accuracy on such pairs measures whether the judge can resolve a small, unambiguous difference; in one study 93 percent of the errors were abstentions, where the judge declined to choose.
Glossary
Jury of models
Several models judge the same item and their scores are averaged or their votes combined. Averaging removes the part of the error on which the members disagree; it leaves the part they share. Because models from different vendors give the same wrong answer 60 percent of the time when both err, a jury reduces noise more than it reduces bias, and one member that fails systematically can pull the consensus arbitrarily far.